We at The 405 believe a great way to look at the most likely results of contests like the Oscars (and have some fun in the process) is to reference professional odds on them. What outcomes are people so confident of they are putting money on?

Check TopBet for some trusted 91st Academy Awards odds and read on for some general observations about this most volatile Oscars season.

#MeToo has justifiably thrown a stick of dynamite into much of the dynamics in Hollywood. After Green Book director Peter Farrelly admitted to flashing colleagues in his younger days in a rather lame attempt to be funny (for which he apologized), and an anti-Muslim tweet (for which he also apologized) surfaced from Green Book's writer Nick Vallelonga, the film's odds of over-coming its creators in the eyes of Academy voters weren't looking so great.

Still, Green Book has some pretty powerful themes in it – indeed, it's a very powerful story about two people overcoming racial and class backgrounds to become close friends. A lot of critics were pointing out how often this theme has been done in movies before, but there's a reason for this: it's a fundamentally powerful theme and (especially in Green Book) it makes for a good story. The odds have it as the second most likely outcome (after Roma) in the Best Picture category, not as a certainty though (like Cuarón winning Best Director) – there is not a huge spread between Green Book and Roma.

#MeToo has affected the odds in other ways too. Specifically, Bohemian Rhapsody in the Best Picture category. Many critics want to acknowledge the movie somehow in the Oscars contest, yet they don't want Bryan Singer receiving the accolades after more accusations of sexual assault came out against him. The most visible shining star in that movie is naturally Rami Malek as Freddie Mercury winning the Best Actor Oscar, with Christian Bale as Dick Cheney in the superb Vice coming in a close second.

Best Actress is – at this point – a contest between Glenn Close for The Wife and Olivia Colman for The Favourite. Odds show close as the favorite to win here and for good reason. Check out my interview with Close's daughter (who also starred in The Wife) Annie Starke here.

Best Supporting Actor has Green Book's Mahershala Ali as the winner by a large margin (this is not ill-deserved as his performance was an exceptional one). But this may not be such a foregone conclusion when you consider that this is also Sam Elliott's first nomination in a 50 year career. As some Academy voters like to make their ballots for some categories a "career achievement award", Elliott pulling out a win here may still be a distinct possibility.

Best Supporting Actress has Regina King of If Beale Street Could Talk pulling a somewhat narrow win out over Amy Adams for Vice. This would be quite the come-from-behind  win if it did happen considering how other awards have played out this year – most of them have focused on The Favourite's Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone in this category.  

Catch the 91st Academy Awards this Sunday on ABC and stay tuned for more coverage from us after and during the ceremony (I'll be live tweeting during the Awards from @the405film). Also check out the Oscar interviews we’ve done this year: director Nadine Labaki of Capernaum (nominated for Best Foreign Language film), director Mamoru Hosoda of Mirai (nominated for Best Animated Feature), and director Vincent Lambe of Detainment (nominated for Best Live Action Short Film).